SOUTH ASIAN MONSOON MAY ARRIVE EARLY THIS YEAR (2013)

A low pressure area will form on June 1, 2013 in the Bay of bengal. The map shows the predicted position around June 4, 2013. See also the heavy rains approaching Mumbai

Looks like the Arabian Sea is not going to throw up a tropical storm in May this year. May be MAHASEN has sucked off  all the moisture and  storm potential in the North Indian Ocean, leaving the Arabian Sea dry. A rain system may develop near the Horn of Africa around May 30, 2013, which will bring some rains to east Yemen and southern tip of Oman.

A notable development is the formation of a low pressure in the Bay of Bengal on June 1, 2013. The monsoons may come 5 days earlier this year as a result.

Now this low pressure area is likely to move northward and bring rains to Andhra, Orissa, Chattisgarh, Bihar and West Bengal after June 5th. Or the system may move in a NW direction; then the western states of India (Gujarat and Rajasthan) are in for a deluge.

Interestingly forecasts say heavy rain may occur in Mumbai on June 5th, 2013.