The present depression in the Arabian Sea hovering around the coast of Southern Oman is going to bring 3 days of rains to Muscat. Till the 3rd of November. The rest of Oman will get rains too but Muscat in for a special favour by the rain gods. Not heavy falls but rains nevertheless.
The depression is likely to intensify on Nov 4, 2011 but will never turn into a cyclone. It will peter out on Nov 5, 2011.
Prediction for Oman coast depression
VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 01.11.2011 15.0N 56.7E WEAK
12UTC 01.11.2011 16.5N 56.1E WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 02.11.2011 15.4N 54.9E WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
12UTC 02.11.2011 16.1N 54.6E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 03.11.2011 15.4N 54.6E MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
12UTC 03.11.2011 15.4N 54.7E STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 04.11.2011 15.3N 54.0E STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 04.11.2011 15.4N 53.0E STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.11.2011 15.4N 51.9E STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.11.2011 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
WHAT THE INDIAN MET DEPT. SAYS ABOUT THIS DEPRESSION?
ARB 02/2011/06 , Dated: 31.10. 2011
Time of issue: 2000 hours IST
Sub: Depression over westcentral Arabian Sea.
The depression over west central Arabian Sea moved northwestward and lay centred at 1730 hrs IST of today, the 31st October 2011 over westcentral Arabian Sea near latitude 16.00N and longitude 57.50E, about 1900 km west-northwest of Mangalore (Karnataka), 550 km northeast of Socotra Island (Yemen) and 400 km east-southeast of Salalah (Oman). The system is likely to intensify further into a deep depression and move west-northwestwards cross south Oman and adjoining Yemen coast close to south of Salalah around morning of 2nd November 2011
The depression is not expected to cause adverse weather along and off west of coast of India. However, the system is under constant watch for its further development
Time of issue: 2000 hours IST
Sub: Depression over westcentral Arabian Sea.
The depression over west central Arabian Sea moved northwestward and lay centred at 1730 hrs IST of today, the 31st October 2011 over westcentral Arabian Sea near latitude 16.00N and longitude 57.50E, about 1900 km west-northwest of Mangalore (Karnataka), 550 km northeast of Socotra Island (Yemen) and 400 km east-southeast of Salalah (Oman). The system is likely to intensify further into a deep depression and move west-northwestwards cross south Oman and adjoining Yemen coast close to south of Salalah around morning of 2nd November 2011
The depression is not expected to cause adverse weather along and off west of coast of India. However, the system is under constant watch for its further development
Rain Forecast Map
Oman is in for some rain. Muscat will get showers till Nov 3, 2011
There is a big storm which will take birth near the Indian coast near the state of Kerala on November 3, 2011. This storm is likely to be a monster and present forecasts say it will hit the Pakistan coast on November 9, 2011. Oman and the Indian state of Gujarat will be spared. But it is early days. Who knows? But more about that in another article....
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