Typhoon Nuri Will Turn Into A Monster Super Typhoon Tomorrow

The Pacific ocean is known to churn out monster storms. It will prove that once again. Typhoon Nuri which lies 2220 Kms SSW of Yokosuka, Japan will turn into a super typhoon with winds of 250 Kph gusting up to a whopping 310 Kph. Phew!

It is curving towards Japan but it it will not strike the islands, but pass it by on November 6-7, 2014. But the country will feel its effects. The eastern coast will see strong winds and rains on those days.

Japan is lucky that Nuri has decided to give it a skip.

A Taiwanese weather newscaster talks about the "parrot storm" [Typhoon Nuri] and Taiwan's weather.

LATEST PREDICTED PATH TRACK OF CYCLONE HUDHUD (UPDATED REGULARLY)

Latest predicted path/track of Cyclone Hudhud according to JTWC (Updated 12/10/2014, 9:00 AM, IST)

Cyclone Nanauk Is Breaking Up Fast! Will Disintegrate In 24 Hours!

Infra-red satellite image of Nanauk taken at 1000 hrs GMT today (June 13, 2014) shows the dying storm well

The JTWC says in its latest Cyclone Nanauk bulletin that the storm is dissipating rapidly. In 24 hours it will be below cyclone strength.

Here is what it says.....

130900Z (JUNE 13, 2014 0900 AM GMT) POSITION NEAR 21.4N 64.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A (NANAUK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 258 NM
SOUTHWEST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
   
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS NOW - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT

THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRN CEN. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.

Infra-Red Satellite Image of Nanauk at 1200 hrs GMT, June 13, 2014, Friday

Cyclone Nanauk Will Dissipate Mid Sea On June 16, 2014

It seems according to latest forecasts that Oman has been spared the fury of cyclone Oman. It is expected to disintegrate mid sea on June 16, 2014. It will be near the coat of Oman then. Position: 20.4 N, 61.2 E.

Latest Satellite image of cyclone Nanauk 01200 hrs GMT, June 13, 2014

Latest Track/Path Prediction Map Of Nanauk Cyclonic Storm by JTWC

The latest track/predicted path pf Cyclone Nanauk by JTWC (Issued at 3 PM, June 11, 2014

Latest Prediction JTWC Path/Track Cyclone 02A (Nanauk)

The JTWC has issued its latest update on cyclone 02A presently hovering around in the Arabian Sea.

It says final destination is the same, Oman. Only the cyclone might hit a little later. Morning instead of early morning of June 15, Sunday, 2014. The predicted intensity is even more. Nanauk is going to be one big bad boy.

This bulletin issued at 9 AM, June 11 GMT, 2014.

By the way, the Indian Met. Dept. has finally given the name NANAUK to the cyclone! AT LAST!

How the cyclone Will Move: Wednesday to Saturday (Hits Oman)

Here is how we forecast how tropical cyclone 02A (Nanauk: Its going to be severe cyclonic storm) will move from today, Wednesday till Saturday (June 14,2014).

Its going to be a big storm. The purple color in the images indicates speed of more than 50 knots (More than 93 kph)

Wednesday, June 11, 2014

Thursday, June 12, 2014

Thursday, June 19, 2014

Saturday, June 14, 2014

Latest JTWC Cyclone Path/Track Graphic: Issued 3.30 AM Today

According to the latest bulletin by the JTWC for tropical cyclone 02A (Nanauk? When?) the storm is very much on. 

It says, "TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 553 NM SOUTH OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS."

But the bulletin admits that," THERE IS UNCERTAINTY IN THE PEAK INTENSITY, WHICH MAY BE SLIGHTLY LOWER. OVERALL, THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST DUE TO TRACK AND INTENSITY UNCERTAINTY."

PRESENT POSITION (AT 9 AM GMT, JUNE 10, 2014) NEAR 15.7N 68.6E

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT

The JTWC says the sustained winds presently are 40 knots, that is 74 kph. WHY IS THE IMD NOT GIVING IT THE NAME "NANAUK"?

Latest Met Office (UK) Arabian Sea Cyclone Nanauk Warnings And Predicted Track

Satellite image Arabian Sea taken at 0145 hrs GMT

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 09.06.2014

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 13.5N  68.3E

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY

  --------------     --------     --------        --------

 12UTC 09.06.2014  13.5N  68.3E    STRONG

 00UTC 10.06.2014  15.1N  68.1E   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 10.06.2014  15.9N  67.7E    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 11.06.2014  16.6N  67.6E    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 11.06.2014  17.6N  67.0E    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 12.06.2014  18.3N  66.7E   MODERATE   WEAKENING RAPIDLY

 12UTC 12.06.2014  19.0N  66.6E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 13.06.2014  20.2N  66.9E     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

 12UTC 13.06.2014  20.5N  67.0E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 14.06.2014  21.0N  67.6E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 14.06.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH