December 31, 2014: XWF-WEATHER Forecast Summary

Storm 95B in the Bay of Bengal is in its death throes. Within the next 36 hours it will dissipate. But weather will be overcast and windy in coastal Odisha, West Bengal and Bangladesh till then. Some showers expected in these areas.

Tropical Storm Jangmi has weakened into a depression as it heads to Palawan. For the next few days it will move towards southern Thailand (And northern Malaysia) and bring rains there. Just that. Rains.

Australia is staring at a big cyclone in early January, 2015. North and Western coasts of the country. Cyclone Lam is imminent.

In south west Indian Ocean two tropical cyclones seem likely. First will affect southern Madagascar. The second will hit Mauritius and La Reunion around January 12, 2015.

December 30, 2014: Today's Forecasts In A Nut-Shell

LATEST XWF-WEATHER FORECASTS: A SUMMARY

Depression 95B has proved to have more stamina than expected. It is braving the cold waters as it ascends the latitudes in the Bay of Bengal. Likely to dissipate by January 2, 2015. Rains expected in east coast of India and Bangladesh.

Jangmi will not intensify much but will reach Thailand as a rain-maker. 

Kate goes strong as a category 3 hurricane tearing down the S Indian Ocean. Will start weakening soon.

North West Australia faces Cyclone Lam on January 6, 2015. Even Perth will be affected.

The Mascarene Islands (Mauritius, Reunion) will have a depression first (Or a cyclone) than may be a big cyclone on January 15-16, 2015.

Tropical Storm JANGMI Will Be A Little Storm: But Heavy Rains In Philippines. Vietnam Not To Be Affected

Update: December 29, 2014

Tropical Storm Jangmi will be a little storm. At its zenith it will whip up winds of 75 kph. No More. But it will bring a lot of rain to central Philippines till January 1, 2014.

Right now the storm has entered central Philippines. Heavy rains are lashing Caraga in Mindanao. The storm will move through Visayas (All of them) and exit the country via Palawan. It is going to intensify when it leaves the Western Viasayas tomorrow evening (Local Time). Winds will reach speeds of 75-80 kph. So Palawan is in for a windy, wet New Year's Day.

Jangmi is not expected to hit Vietnam. It is going to move in a SW direction after leaving Palawan. It will then move in the South China Sea and dissipate before it reaches Thai shores on January 4, 2014. Some rains in Thailand too on that day.

Track Path Forecast for Tropical Storm Jangmi according to JTWC (Bulletin issued at 0300 hours, GMT, December 29, 2014)

See Rain Forecast Maps

See TS Jangmi Live

Philippines In Peril: Tropical Storm Jangmi Is Coming!

Philippines has just emerged from typhoon Hagupit, when another peril lurks round the corner. Jangmi is gonna come visiting the country on December 29.

Tropical Storm Jangmi is gonna be a slimy customer. Right now it does not exist, even as a low pressure. Hence it has not come on NOAA's constant vigil, even as an "invest".

The storm will begin innocuously as a low north of Papua New Guinea in a day or two. It will then stealthily creep towards Philippines, come near the coast of Mandanao, then intensify rapidly into a tropical storm, very close to the coast of the country on December 29, 2014.

It will then move NNW and enter the country from the Eastern Visayas.

Jangmi will be no Hagupit but it will cause trouble because it will be a slow moving storm. It is gong to move diagonally into the country. Hence lots of rains and of course the winds.