Hurricane PATRICIA will reach Baffin Bay on November 2!

This lady monster has stamina! Hurricane Patricia is a category 5 tropical cyclone in north east Pacific Ocean and has given Mexico a fright of its life. It is going to hit Jalisco province of the country at around 0000 GMT, October 24, 2015. That is in less than 18 hours.

The hurricane will rapidly weaken into a tropical storm hours after impact and then into a tropical depression after that. But it is going to bring very heavy rains as it cuts across Mexico.

By October 25 it will have reached Houston, Texas. Patricia will go for a brief stroll in the Gulf of Mexico. On October 28 it will re-enter the United States and move through Mississippi, Alabama and Kentucky.

In the next 48 hours after that Patricia will move through the states on the eastern coast (including New York) and through Quebec, Newfoundland in Canada into Labrador Sea.

By November 2 the system will have turned into a extra-tropical cyclone and entered Baffin Bay. 

So we see that Patricia is no ordinary hurricane. It is going to travel through 3 countries in the coming 10 days.

We have based our predictions on the forecast data from the ECMWF model. It had been proved right from the beginning during hurricane Joaquín. It had predicted it would not make landfall into eastern USA even as other models, including the NHC were predicting a hit on the eastern coast.

Latest satellite image of category 5 hurricane Patricia 

Two Big Extra-Tropical Cyclones Coming: One To Japan On November 25, Another To Canada On November 21, 2014

The tropical cyclone season may be fading in the Pacific, Atlantic and Indian oceans (Southern hemisphere aside) but mid-latitude storms are coming. And they are going to be big, bad and powerful. One will hit Japan on November 25, another will come from the Pacific and slam into British Columbia on November 21, 2014.

Generally extra-tropical cyclones are not so powerful (There are exceptions) as their tropical cousins, but the one likely to hit Canada is going to be particularly nasty with a minimum pressure of 960-970 mb.

We deal with the Japan storm first. It will come as a low pressure from China, move over Korea, strengthening all the time. As it approaches Japan it will intensify further, the pressure being about 998 mb. Not a very big storm but will bring strong winds and rains to Japan on November 25, 2014.

XWF Map: November 25, 2014: The Mid-latitude storm approaches Japan. Heavy rains and strong winds are expected around then

THE BRITISH COLUMBIA STORM EXPECTED ON NOVEMBER 21, 2014

The other storm is going to be bigger. It will start off as an innocuous low pressure in the Pacific and then move towards the Bay of Alaska strengthening all the time. Make no mistake, this guy is going to be big and powerful. A central pressure of 970 mb. Ominous. It is going to cross the Canadian coast on November 21, 2014. British Columbia (And southern Alaska) are in for gale and heavy precipitation in a week.

XWF Map: The storm moving towards Canada. November 21, 2014.

 November 21, 2014. Alaska and western Canada are in trouble as a 960 mb storm is going to hit them

November 21, 2014: Hurricane like winds are going to strike southern Alaskan coast and British Columbia

Gonzalo Is A Category 4 Storm Now: Will Weaken Soon: Bermuda Is In For A Hammering

Bermuda is in for a hiding from Hurricane Gonzalo. The battering will start from 3:00 PM (Local Time) in the afternoon. Heavy rains and winds that a Category 4 Hurricane can whip up.

Folks in mainland USA can rest easy. Gonzalo is not expected to make landfall anywhere. But expect some winds along the coast. In short the storm will prove a nuisance only for ships in the Atlantic Ocean, who are taking evasive action right now.

Newfoundland in Canada will have to be wary. A weakened Gonzalo is going to come calling on Saturday-Sunday night.

 October 18, 2014 night. Gonzalo about to Hit St. John's, Newfoundland, Canada

 This how the Canadians expect Gonzalo to move. Their prediction differs from the GFS which expects a direct hit on St. John's

The GFS expects a hit on St. John's on late night of October 18, 2014

Expected Path Track of Hurricane Gonzalo (Oct. 18 to Oct. 21)

Hurricane GONZALO Is Taking Birth Now In The Atlantic

XWF-WEATHER Forecast Map: Hurricane GONZALO about to slam into Newfoundland. October 18, 2014

The Western Pacific and Northern Indian Ocean have been active in the last few weeks throwing up tropical storms. Now it is the turn of the Atlantic Ocean.

Hurricane Gonzalo has already taken birth. As a low pressure are near Puerto Rico.

In the next week Gonzalo is going to gradually grow stronger and vicious. But folks in the US can rest easy. Gonzalo is not going to hit the US. It is going to cruise along the eastern coast (A good few hundred miles off) and grow stronger and hit Newfoundland, Canada on 18th October, 2014. (Local time)

The worst affected will be St. John's, Holyrood and Clarenville.

Present forecasts say by the time it slams into Canada it will be a beast of a storm.

SEE HURRICANE "GONZALO" LIVE BELOW (Courtesy: nullschool)

Hurricane Irene Will Bring Heavy Rains To Eastern Pennsylvania, Vermont, New York State and Quebec In Canada

Forecasted path of Hurricane Irene

Irene is battering Washington DC, Philadelphia, and Baltimore presently. New York will get a drenching till Sunday (August 28, 2011) evening (local time). The state of New York is in for for the heaviest rainfall till early hours of Monday. The heavy rains will then move into Canada, with Montreal, Ottawa and Quebec (city) bearing the brunt of the precipitation. Irene is moving rapidly so the rains in Canada will start from Sunday afternoon. The rain clouds of Irene will travel northwards through the state of Quebec with Labrador city and Newfoundland getting some rains Monday (August 29, 2011) afternoon.


FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS

• Where will be the strongest winds? New York city because Irene is making landfall there. Also the US states of New Hampshire, Massachusetts, and Maine. The cities? Hartford, Providence, Boston and Augusta. All Sunday night.
• The winds in Canada? Less than those in the US but still quite strong. Especially in the provinces of New Brunswick and Newfoundland. The towns? Fredericton, Charlottetown and St. Johns. Monday morning.
• Heaviest rains are forecast in the states of New York, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Vermont, Connecticut Sunday afternoon. Flooding would be word most apt to use here. Very heavy downpours.
• Sunday late night the rains move into Canada. Ottawa, Quebec (city) and Montreal are to get the most drenching. The entire Canadian province of Quebec will get rains on Monday.

RAIN FORECAST MAPS: HURRICANE IRENE

SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 3 pm. New York, Connecticut, New Hampshire and Vermont getting heavy rainfall

 Sunday late night. The rains move into Quebec, Canada

Monday (August 29, 2011) early morning. Ottawa, and Montreal get a drenching

WIND MAPS: HURRICANE IRENE

 Sunday (August 28, 2011) late night (EDT). The winds slowly leave New York city and move to Boston, Providence, Concord and Augusta

Monday early morning (EDT).The winds batter the coast of Maine and enter Canada