LATEST KALMAEGI UPDATE: Typhoon Will Hit Philippines With Winds of 160 Kph Today Night

Latest satellite image (0300 Hrs GMT September 14, 2014) of Kalmaegi

Cyclone Kalmaegi approaches North Philippines with howling winds and torrential downpours. It will make landfall tomorrow night (local time), that the night of September 14, 2014. Winds will be in excess of 150 kph. Wave surge will be 10-12 meters or even more. The Batanes islands will be worst hit.

Kalmaegi will weaken as it passes over northern Philippines but will strengthen again as it enters South China Sea. It will hit the southern neck of Guangdong province on September 16, 2014, late night. Worst hit be the city of Zhanjiang which will see winds of 130 kph.

The typhoon will then move along the coastal areas of China in the Gulf of Tonkin and enter the area of border of Vietnam and China on the 17th of September. Though the winds will be less but the rains will be very heavy in North Vietnam.

Latest projected path of Kalmaegi according to JTWC.

 Kalmaegi will strengthen again in the South China Sea. This is the forecasted position of the typhoon on September 16, 0000 hrs GMT.

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 Northern Philippines coast will see waves surge by 12 meters.

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Total rainfall owing to Kalmaegi forecasted from now till September 18, 2014. The white patches show heaviest precipitation.

SIDELIGHTS: THIS LADY TAIWANESE FORECASTER HAS GOT IT RIGHT!

THIS VIETNAMESE WEATHERGIRL WARNS ABOUT KALMAEGI

Latest Update: Typhoon KALMAEGI: To Hit North Philippine Night September 14, 2014, China On 17th Noon

Satellite Image of Kalmaegi (Taken at 0300 Hrs, GMT, September 13, 2014). The swirl of a cyclone has formed.

Kalmaegi's path forecasted by JTWC

 XWF Forecast Map: Kalmaegi will throw up waves an astounding 10-12 meters high on the Philippines coast on September 14, 2014.

In contrast the wave surge when it hits China will be lower at about 4-6 meters.

SIDELIGHTS: HOW A TAIWANESE TV WEATHER FORECASTER SEES KALMAEGI!

Kalmaegi will be slightly weaker than expected.

Satellite image of Typhoon Kalmaegi, which is brewing east of Philippines. Time 0300 HRS GMT September 12, 2014.

JTWC has confirmed what we had predicted yesterday. It says it is going to hit Guangdong province of China after moving over north Philippines on September 17, 2014 noon local time.

It also says the typhoon is going to be weaker than expected. When it hits the Chinese coast winds will be around 150 kph.Even that is nothing to sneeze at. It can wreak havoc. Also there is still time. And storms are by nature very unpredictable. Who knows. The Hainan authorities will have to be fully prepared.

Also Typhoon Kalmaegi is going to hit southern Guangdong province in the solar plexus. Hainan island is not the epicenter. Leizhou and Wushi will bear the brunt.

Moreover the typhoon is going pass the strip of Chinese territory and move into Gulf of Tonking and hit Vietnam at Haiphong on September 17, 2014 evening.

The expected typhoon may turn out to be weaker (By US standards it will be a Category 2 storm) but it is going to bring very heavy rains to all the countries it will pass through. A glance at the rainfall prediction maps says it all.

Category	Wind speeds
Five	≥70 m/s, ≥137 knots ≥157 mph, ≥252 km/h
Four	58–70 m/s, 113–136 knots 130–156 mph, 209–251 km/h
Three	50–58 m/s, 96–112 knots 111–129 mph, 178–208 km/h
Two	43–49 m/s, 83–95 knots 96–110 mph, 154–177 km/h
One	33–42 m/s, 64–82 knots 74–95 mph, 119–153 km/h

This is how tropical storms are categorized by wind speeds in the US

XWF Rainfall Forecast Map in Philippines on September 14, 2014 owing to Kalmaegi

Expected rains in China owing to Kalmaegi

Kalmaegi will be bring torrential rains to Vietnam on September 17, 2014 evening.

A VIDEO (SEPTEMBER 9, 2014) ABOUT KALMAEGI (WE DO NOT FULLY AGREE WITH ITS PREDICTIONS) Source: Westernpacificweather

RELATED

 Massive Typhoon KALMAEGI (LUIS) To Hit North Philippines On September 15, 2014

Massive Typhoon KALMAEGI (LUIS) To Hit North Philippines On September 15, 2014

The birth of a storm: Image of tropical depression W15 taken a few hours ago (See the arrow). Typhoon Kalmaegi has been born.

Typhoon KALMAEGI will be at its strongest on September 16, 2014, as it hurtles towards southern China and Vietnam.

A tropical depression has formed east of Philippines. It has been named 15W. An innocuous title. But when one thinks what it is going to turn into one shudders a little.

The system is going to intensify into a raging typhoon. And it is going to hit northern Philippines on September 15th with winds of 185 kph which may peak at a massive 232 kph!

I suppose the Philippines authorities must have already swung into action. The country is no stranger to cyclones but this system is going to be big bad and very mean.

The worst affected areas will be in northern part of the country. Ilocos, Cordillera, and Cagayan Valley will be worst affected. Capital Manila (Quezon City) will escape from the strongest winds but will receive heavy rains.

What is not widely known is that this cyclone Kalmaegi is not going to dissipate after hitting Philippines. It will lose some steam as it cross northern Philippines but will gain strength in the South China Sea. It will then turn into what we call a "monster" storm and move westward. It will hit southern Guangdong province of China with great ferocity on September 17, 2014, noon (local time). The affected areas will be Leizhou, Wushi and perhaps Zhanjiang.

Twelve hours later. September 17, 2014 night Kalmaegi will impact north Vietnam. Haiphong will face the brunt of the fury of the storm. Massive wind speeds and torrential rains will what Haiphong and Hanoi will witness on that night.

XWF Weather Forecast Map: September 14, 2014. Sunday night. Typhoon Kalmaegi about to enter northern Philippines. Note that wind speeds in the maps are in knots. 1 knot is about 1.852 kph. So imagine!

September 17, 2014. Wednesday noon (local time). Kalmaegi about to hit the southern tip of Guangdong province.

The night of September 17, 2014. Wednesday. Kalmaegi hits northern Vietnam. Haiphong will be worst hit.

This is how Kalmaegi will go says JTWC (Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Also read: Kalmaegi will be slightly weaker than expected.