August 16, 2016: Weather Forecast Update: Low Pressure System Moving Into Bengal

AUGUST 16, 2016, TUESDAY

A low pressure area (NOAA calls it 97B) has formed in the Bay of Bengal. By tomorrow it will inland into Odisha-west Bengal. The cyclonic circulation over Uttar Pradesh is dissipating.

The depression/low pressure system from the South China Sea will reach eastern India by August 21. This will bring more rains to West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand, Uttar Pradesh.

The GFS forecast model envisages a procession of lows moving into West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand, Uttar Pradesh one after another till August end. I think we are staring at floods in these states in the coming fortnight.

Very heavy rains in eastern Madhya Pradesh, and adjoining areas of Uttar Pradesh, Chattisgarh till Wednesday morning.

Rains in Uttar Pradesh in next 36 hours.

Heavy showers in Odisha (Sambalpur) till tomorrow morning.

Rains to increase in Gangetic West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand as the low pressure system moves in from tomorrow.

On Thursday heavy rains to move to Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Chattisgarh.

The rain radar shows the circulation over Uttar Pradesh petering out as the low pressure system moves into West Bengal from the Bay of Bengal.

August 14, 2016: Weather Forecast: Very Wet Uttar Pradesh, Eastern Madhya Pradesh, Chattisgarh Ahead

AUGUST 14, 2016, SUNDAY 

The low pressure area lies over eastern Uttar Pradesh. It will weaken and dissipate in the next 72 hours but it will give damaging precipitation to eastern Uttar Pradesh, eastern Madhya Pradesh and Chattisgarh.

A Bay of Bengal low pressure area is likely to develop off the West Bengal coast by August 16. 

Also another low pressure system may reach eastern India on August 21 from the South China Sea. The low may form in the South China Sea soon. It may intensify into tropical storm hit northern Vietnam-southern China then weaken. But it may travel to India.

Moreover two tropical cyclones are heading for Japan. CHANTHU and CONSON. CONSON will affect part of Hokkaido island tomorrow with 75 km/h winds. CHANTHU will kiss by the eastern shores of the country near Tokyo with 100 km/h winds on August 18 and then reach Hokkaido on August 19, 2016.

Very heavy rains in eastern Madhya Pradesh (around Jabalpur region) till Monday morning.

Heavy rains in Bhopal, Narsinhpur, Hoshangabad, Raison, Katni, Panna districts of MP till Sunday night.

Very heavy rainfall in parts of eastern Uttar Pradesh (Kanpur, Banda, Chitrakoot, Fatehpur) and northeast Madhya Pradesh (Satna, Rewa) on Monday.

Heavy rains in Chattisgarh (Korba, Bhilai) on Monday-Tuesday.

FLOODING EXPECTED DUE TO INCESSANT RAINFALL IN PARTS OF NORTHEAST MADHYA PRADESH (Chhatarpur, Damoh, Panna, Satna districts).

The rain radar at 8:30 AM, Sunday, shows heavy rains in parts of Uttar Pradesh, Delhi, Haryana and Bangladesh. But the real concern is eastern Madhya Pradesh and Chattisgarh which faces a deluge in the next 72 hours.

Cyclones CONSON and CHANTHU to affect Japan in a span of 4 days.

August 13, 2016: Weather Forecast Update: Deluge In Northwest Madhya Pradesh

AUGUST 13, 2016, SATURDAY

The upper air cyclonic circulation lies over northern Madhya Pradesh-eastern Uttar Pradesh. It will continue to bring flooding rains to Madhya Pradesh, especially the northeastern segment (Rewa-Sewa) and many parts of eastern Uttar Pradesh.

The system will hover around the region till August 16, 2016.

Monsoon activity will increase in all over India except the five southern states from August 16.

STORM POSSIBILITY TODAY: A low pressure area is developing in the Gulf of Tonkin off the coast of Vietnam. It may move into the South China Sea and intensify into a tropical cyclone in the coming days. Areas to be affected are northern Vietnam, China (Guangdong, Hainan, Guangxi, Yunnan)

Very heavy continuous rains in northeastern Madhya Pradesh (Satna, Rewa, Singrauli, Shahdol, Sidhi), parts of northern Chattisgarh and southeast Uttar Pradesh) till Sunday morning.

Heavy showers in Jabalpur, Bhopal till Sunday morning.

Moderate to heavy widespread rains in Uttar Pradesh and northern Madhya Pradesh in next 48 hours.

Heavy rains in Allahabad on Monday.

Rain radar shows heavy rains in parts of Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan.

NOAA RAIN FORECAST