MAY 30, 2016
Konkan coast, Mumbai city, South Gujarat and Saurashtra will receive very heavy rainfall from June 10 onwards.
This will be possible because of an off shore trough that will form in the Arabian Sea off the western coast of India in the first week of June.
There will be very good precipitation in southeastern Rajasthan and western Madhya Pradesh on June 13-14 as the low will move over these regions. It could even reach Delhi by June 14-15, bringing heavy showers in the capital.
Mumbai and Maharashtra along with northern Karnataka will receive good pre-monsoon showers between June 4-6.
Lately there have been apprehensions about monsoon 2016 after the Indian Meteorological Department said that the onset in Kerala could be delayed. The searing heat waves in the country along with drought like conditions has most people yearning for the rain gods.
Most climate forecast models and the IMD have predicted a good monsoon this year.
The present tardiness on the part of monsoons is because of the lingering after effects of the now deceased El Niño. Absence of the Madden Julian Oscillation and a negative Indian Ocean Dipole has made things worse.
But as La Niña regenerates by July, the rainfall outlook for India will dramatically improve. Experts are warning of flooding rains in July-October as La Niña goes on the rampage.
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3 comments:
Sir, the esteemed director of site xtremeweatherforecast I wish add a comment about the weather Oman by your experts and I am a staunch follower of your pages with high appreciation
(vip.1981othman@gmail.com)
Thank you for your kindness. We always monitor the weather and climate of Oman, UAE and other Middle East countries and will keep you informed of developments. We shall soon write about seasonal/monthly forecasts for the region. What global climate models foresee for Oman and the UAE.
Is there any possibility of cyclone formation in Arabian Sea in coming days. Why all models starts to predict cyclone formation in Arabian Sea n after some time they says possibilities of cyclone formation is very rare.every year in da start of may nearly all neurological agencies start to predict big cyclone in sea
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