MAY 28, 2016
Mumbai will receive upto 4-5 inches of rain by June 12, 2016. Hardly a sign of a delayed weak monsoon. Though the Indian Meteorological Department has warned that the onset over Kerala might be delayed, global forecast models say though monsoon activity may be subdued in the last days of May, things will begin to change by June 5.
The rain forecast map above shows the total precipitation from now till June 13, 2016. The figures are in inches.
Monsoon will gather momentum as it will clamber up the Indian west coast. Mumbai will receive its first heavy showers around June 10, 2016.
By that time rainfall will intensify over the states of Kerala, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, southern Maharashtra and Telangana.
Gujarat will start receiving increased pre-monsoon showers. As will Madhya Pradesh. In fact looking at the rain forecast map below only Rajasthan will remain dry by June 13, 2016.
One can say that rainfall activity is going to accelerate in the second week of June.
Above map shows the average monsoon rainfall received by different regions of India.
Above map shows the progress of monsoon 2016 till May 27.
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