A Bay Of Bengal Low Pressure Area Will Form On October 8, 2014

The Indian monsoons have been weak this year. Both the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea have been relatively calm as compared to other years. June and September-October are the times of the year when these seas churn out a tropical storm.

Well, the Bay of Bengal is going to throw out a low pressure area this October. The system will form on October 8, 2014 near the Andaman Islands and will, according to present indications, move to the Andhra coast in India and bring heavy rains on October 13, 2014.

It is to be seen if the system turns out bigger (A tropical storm?) or not.

 FORECAST MAP: The low pressure area brings rains to east coast of India on October 13, 2014

FORECAST MAP: The system is formed on October 8, 2014

Tropical Storm "Phanfone" Has Formed: Will Intensify And Move Towards Japan

This satellite picture taken at 0600 Hrs, Sept. 27, 2014 shows 'Kammuri' nearing Japan and the area where 'Phanfone'was born

As 'Kammuri' moves towards Japan, another typhoon has formed in the Pacific. Phanfone.

The JTWC confirms the birth of the storm.

FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 5.2N 166.5E TO 8.6N 160.6E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH.

Phanfone will intensify and move towards Japan in the coming days. present forecasts say that it will near Japan till the 5th of October, 2014, than weaken and move away from the coast.

"Phanfone"means "animal" in Laotian. Let us see how much of a beast it turns out to be.

Update September 28, 2014, 0230 PM GMT: Typhoon Phanfone will hit Taiwan on October 5, 2014 according to latest forecasts.

XWF FORECAST PATH: Expected path of Typhoon Phanfone from now to Ocober 6, 2014

Tropical Storm "Kammuri" Update: September 27, 2014: Typhoon Will Pass By Japan On Sept. 29, 2014

Infra-Red satellite image of Typhoon Kammuri taken at 0300 Hrs, September 27, 2014

Japan is fortunate. Just a few days there was a real possibility that two typhoons would strike it one after another. But things have changed. Typhoon Kammuri which is hovering around in the Pacific now is not going to strike Japan but pass it by on September 29, 2014.

Typhoon Phanfone which is being spawned right now in the Pacific, will also by-pass Japan in early October. But that we leave for later.

Expected path of Kammuri: From today till September 29, 2014

MET OFFICE PREDICTS THE PATH OF 'KAMMURI'
       GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 27.09.2014

 SEVERE TROPICAL STORM KAMMURI    ANALYSED POSITION : 24.8N 145.7E

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------

 00UTC 27.09.2014  24.8N 145.7E   MODERATE

 12UTC 27.09.2014  27.3N 144.5E   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

 00UTC 28.09.2014  30.1N 143.3E    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

 12UTC 28.09.2014  32.1N 144.1E    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 29.09.2014  33.4N 146.1E    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 29.09.2014  35.7N 149.9E    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 30.09.2014  39.0N 156.4E    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 30.09.2014  41.3N 164.4E    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

 00UTC 01.10.2014  41.0N 172.1E   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

 12UTC 01.10.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

XWF WEATHER FORECAST MAP: Typhoon "Phanfone" moves past Japan on October 5, 2015

Remnants Of Typhoon Fung-wong Will Bring Rains To Japan

Typhoon Fung-wong is no longer a storm but a low pressure area. It is now crossing South Korea. In the next few days it will move over Japan bringing heavy precipitation in many parts.

Whatever that remains of Fungwong will bring rains to Japan

Arabian Sea May Spring A Surprise: Low pressure To Form September End

The North Indian Ocean has been quiet this year except for springing Nananuk this year. Well it may spring a surprise.

There is likelihood of a low pressure area developing in southern Arabian Sea near the Maldives on September 30, 2014. Present forecasts say the system will move west and bring rains to Aden around October 7, 2014.

But anything can happen in a week. Let us see.....But, I smell a tropical cyclone here.

XWF FORECAST MAP: September 30, 2014. A low pressure area forms

 The system as seen on October 3, 2014

October 7, 2014. The low pressure area brings rains to the Horn Of Africa

Latest Pacific Update: September 24, 2014: Both Kammuri And Phanfone Will Skip Japan

The vagaries of nature! Yesterday it seemed as if Kammuri would be a very big storm and it would hit central Japan on September 29, 2014. And that Phanfone would strike a week later.

But latest predictions say both the typhoons will kiss the Japanese coast and move away without moving in. Kammuri on September 29, 2014 and Phanfone on around October 7, 2014.

But nature can spring surprises. We have to keep a close watch.

This is what the venerable JTWC says in its latest bulletin....

FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.7N 150.6E TO 23.5N 145.8E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 231800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 149.4E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS.

JAPAN'S WOEFUL FUTURE: After "Kammuri" Typhoon "Phanfone" Will Strike It Around October 7, 2014

Japan is going to face nature's fury in the coming fortnight.

Firstly big tropical storm "Kammuri" will hit central Japan near Tokyo on September 29, 2014. As if that was not bad enough, Kammuri is going to be followed by another storm, Phanfone.

Yes, we had earlier predicted that Phanfone would hit Taiwan, but latest forecasts say it is going to touch Japan in the very same area as Kammuri around October 7, 2014.

Thankfully, present indications are that Phanfone is not going to be as strong as Kammuri.

Japan's cup of woes seem to be spilling over as far nature is concerned.

XWF FORECAST MAP: Phanfone approaches Japan as seen on October 5, 2014. It will make landfall in another couple of days after this

LATEST UPDATE 0630 HRS GMT 23/9/204: Typhoon Kammuri To Hit Central Japan September 29, 2014

Latest forecasts say upcoming typhoon "Kammuri" will hit central Japan on September 29, 2014.

Earlier we had predicted that the storm will just skim the Japanese coast and move away but the typhoon seems to have changed its mind and will now hit central Japan near Tokyo on September 29, 2014.

Kammuri is going to be a big storm. May be a super typhoon.

Keep reading this site for the latest forecasts.

XWF FORECAST MAP: Kammuri about to hit central Japan on 29th September 2014

AFTER KAMMURI, Typhoons Phanfone (Will Hit Taiwan October 8) and Vongfong To Form Quickly

The north western Pacific has started hurtling typhoons in quick succession! After Kalmaegi and Fung-wong we have predicted super-typhoon Kammuri will kiss central Japan on September 29, 2014.

But that is not the end of the story. Two more typhoons, Phanfone and Vongfong will quickly follow. Both will form east of the Philippines (That area of the Pacific is the womb of all storms hitting Asia).

Typhoon Phanfone will form as a low pressure area on October 2, 2014. It will then slowly intensify and move westwards. It will hit Taiwan on October 8, 2014.

Typhoon Vongfong will form in a near identical area as Phanfone on October 5, 2014, and follow an identical path as Phanfone. But it is difficult to say with surety now as to which way will Vongfong  go.

XWF WEATHER FORECAST MAP: This incredible map shows October 8, 2014; Typhoon Phanfone moves into Taiwan as Typhoon Vongfong is close behind.

Super Storm KAMMURI To Develop In Next Few Days: Will Pass By Japan On September 29, 2014

LATEST JTWC WARNING SAYS.....

FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 135 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.9N 148.1E TO 17.5N 147.9E  WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT  IMAGERY AT 091830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 148.1E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS.

Latest forecasts say KAMMURI will kiss central Japan and move away on September 29, 2014, But who knows what might happen?

In the next few days, a much bigger storm than Fung-wong will take birth in the western Pacific. Kammuri. Typhoon Kammuri will form near the Mariana Islands in the Pacific.

In the next few days, it will move NNW towards central Japan. It will approach the country till the 29th of September giving Japan a scare, because Kammuri will be a big storm with a very large radius (Fung-wong was a pygmy by comparison).

But then suddenly it will move away north-easterly from Japan into the deep Pacific ocean.

Going by present forecasts, Kammuri will not hit Japan. All it will do is devastate the islands in its path (Volacano Islands, Bonin Islands, Iwo Jima) but these are sparsely populated.

Make no mistake; Kammuri is going to be big monster.

If it decides to hit Japan, it will be devastating.

XWF FORECAST MAP: This the closest super-typhoon "Kammuri" will get to Japan. After 29/9/2014 it will move away from the country

Present predicted path of KAMMURI

The JTWC warns of the birth of Kammuri

This satelliteiamge taken at 0000 Hrs GMT, 3rd September, 2014, shows the birth of Kammuri near the island of Guam

Latest NASA Satellite Image Of Typhoon FUNG-WONG Over Taiwan

Latest images of typhoon Fung-wong over Taiwan

READ MORE ON TYPHOON FUNG-WONG

Western Pacific Update, September 21, 2014: Wung-fong will die down after crossing Taiwan, "Kammuri" Will Hit Japan October 3, 2014

The Atlantic and Indian oceans have been peaceful. In contrast, the Pacific, especially Western Pacific is in ferment.

Tropical storm Fung-wong is moving intoTaiwan now. It will cross through it bringing rains and gale. The storm will than make landfall in China's Zhejiang province and will peter out, bringing rains to South Korea and Japan.

The next storm, "Kammuri" will form deep in the Pacific by September 25. It will strengthen and move west initially but then turn north sharply and hit central Japan on October 3, 2014.

Typhoon Fung-wong will move into Taiwan tomorrow . A weak storm.

An infra-red satellite image of Typhoon Fung-wong taken at 0000 Hrs, September 21, 2014 (GMT)

Fung-wong is entering Taiwan

READ MORE ON TYPHOON FUNG-WONG

TYPHOON FUNG-WONG UPDATE: Storm To Hit Taiwan Tomorrow: Will Bring rains To Shanghai Sunday

Fung-wong is going to be a weak storm (maximum winds of 80 kph). And it has deviated once more from the earlier forecast track. Latest observations say it is going to hit Taiwan tomorrow late night (Local time).

After crossing Taiwan it will weaken a little and kiss the Chinese mainland at Zhejiang province. Shanghai too will feel its affect on Sunday. After that the storm will weaken below storm strength on September 24, 2014 as it nears Japan. All that Japan will get is some rains. That is all. Fung-wong will dis-integrate before it reaches Japan.

Latest satellite image of Fung-wong taken at 0300 Hrs GMT, September 19, 2014.

READ MORE ON TYPHOON FUNG-WONG

Typhoon FUNG-WONG To Brush Past N. Philippines Tomorrow, Taiwan Saturday And Hit Japan Tuesday

Satellite image of typhoon Fung-wong taken at 0000 Hrs, GMT today, September 18, 2014

The expected path of Typhoon Fung-wong

XWF FORECAST MAP: Fung-wong about to hit Japan on Tuesday, September 23, 2014 (Local Time)

Earlier we had said that Typhoon Fung-wong would pass by northern Philippines. But it seems it going to change course and pass by Philippines very close. It is also going to affect Taiwan brushing past it on Saturday (September 20, 2014).

It will then move on and hit Japan on Tuesday (September 23, 2014) local time.

Fung-wong will not be very strong as it passes Philippines and Taiwan with winds of about 80 kph. It is only when it enters the Yellow Sea that it will really intensify with winds gusting at above 100 kph. Earlier we had estimated that it would hit central Japan but it is going to shift course from earlier forecasts and hit Japan head-on.

XWF FORECAST MAP: Fung-wong moves past N. Philippines tomorrow

XWF FORECAST MAP: The typhoon will affect Taiwan on Saturday

From http://www.trust.org/item/20140918030720-8exfz/?source=fiTheWire

Tropical storm Fung-wong is forecast to strike the Philippines as a typhoon at about 12:00 GMT on 19 September. Data supplied by the US Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Center suggest that the point of landfall will be near 18.5 N, 122.4 E. Fung-wong is expected to bring 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around 120 km/h (74 mph). Wind gusts in the area may be considerably higher.

According to the Saffir-Simpson damage scale the potential property damage and flooding from a storm of Fung-wong's strength (category 1) at landfall includes: Storm surge generally 1.2-1.5 metres (4-5 feet) above normal. No real damage to building structures. Damage primarily to unanchored mobile homes, shrubbery, and trees. Some damage to poorly constructed signs. Some coastal road flooding and minor pier damage. There is also the potential for flooding further inland due to heavy rain.

READ MORE ON TYPHOON FUNG-WONG

SIDELIGHTS: VIDEO: A PRETTY TAIWANESE TV FORECASTER TELLS US ABOUT "FUNG-WONG"

The Atlantic: Hurricane EDOUARD Will Weaken and peter out in a day or two

Satellite image of Hurricane EDOUARD taken at 0300 Hrs, September 17, 2014

Meanwhile the Atlantic Ocean has been relatively peaceful this year. Unlike other years it is not hurtling monsters like Katrina.

Right now Hurricane Edouard is pottering around in mid-Atlantic. Causing nuisance only to the shipping lanes. But is expected to die down in a day or two.

No new tropical storm are likely in the Atlantic Ocean in the next few days.

The journey of Hurricane Edouard (Courtesy: Hamweather.com)

FUTURE STORMS: Typhoon"KAMMURI" Will Hit Taiwan And East China In Early October, 2014

XWF FORECAST MAP: October 2, 2014. Typhoon Kammuri gains strength and moves west towards China

The Western Pacific is in ferment. It is churning out typhoons every couple of days. After Kalmaegi, tropical cyclone Fung-wong has already formed (It is a low pressure area now) and will hit Japan on September 21, 2014.

After that Tropical Cyclone KAMMURI will form north east of Philippines as a humble low pressure area on September 27, 2014. It will not go to either Philippines or Japan but will gain momentum, move west pass pelt melt over Taiwan and then slam into the Chinese coast north of Hongkong.

FUTURE STORMS: Typhoon FUNG-WONG Is Forming Now (96W): Will Hit Japan September 21, 2014

Expected Path of Tropical Cyclone Fung-wong

As Tropical Storm Kalmaegi dissipates over Vietnam, another typhoon has already been spawned. A low pressure has formed east of Philippines. It has been termed 96W. The JTWC calls it WTPN 21.  In the next few days it will intensify into a tropical storm. Fung-won is coming.

The system will not hit Philippines. It will move towards northern Philippines initially as it gains strength, but will veer away northwards towards in a day or two. It will be a low pressure area or a tropical depression then.

On the 20th of September it will turn into tropical storm Fung-wong. It will slam into Japan at the east coast on 21st September, 2014.

XWF FORECAST MAPS: Fung-won moving past northern Philippines as a tropical depression on 19/9/2014

XWF FORECAST MAPS: Fung-wong hits central Japan on 21/9/2014

Point of impact

READ MORE ON TYPHOON FUNG-WONG

KALMAEGI HITS CHINA, HAINAN ISLANDS: A VIDEO

Latest satellite image of Typhoon Kalmaegi: 0000 hrs September 16, 2014

 KALMAEGI AS IT MOVES IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA

THE STORM APPRAOCHES HAINAN ISLAND

TYPHOON KALMAEGI UPDATE SEPT. 15, 2014, 0430 HRS GMT. Gaining Strength, Wll Hit China Tomorrow Noon, Vietnam Tomorrow Night

Kalamegi is a fast moving storm. It has moved on from the Philippines and now is gathering power in

 the South China Sea.

Earlier we had said that it would hit the area around Zhanjiang in China; But Kalmaegi seems to have changed its mind. It will hit China further south.The eye of the storm will move between Hainan Island and southern tip of Guangdong province tomorrow (Sept. 16, 2014 Noon, Local Time).

Twelve hours after that, (September 16, 2014 night) it will hit Vietnam at Haiphong.

As for the expected rainfall. Hainan Island of China and Northern Vietnam will see a deluge and consequent flooding.

Satellite Image fo Typhoon KALMAEGI taken at 0300 Hrs, September 15, 2014

 XWF RAIN PREDICTION MAP: Hainan Island will get maximum rainfall from Typhoon Kalmaegi

XWF RAIN PREDICTION MAP: North Vietnam Will See Flooding on September 16-17 owing to KALMAEGI