MAY 3, 2013 CYCLONE MAHASEN FORECAST UPDATE : To Form Bay Of Bengal Around May 10, 2013. Target Tamil Nadu

Prediction map: Cyclone Mahasen on May 10, 2013

It is now confirmed. Almost all forecast models say that something is brewing in the Indian Ocean south of the Sri Lankan coast.

Some models are more sanguine. They say a depression will form east of Sri Lanka in the Bay of Bengal move eastward, drench Sri Lanka and kiss the southern most tip of India and move over into the Arabian Sea. Then turn into a cyclone in the Arabian Sea? May be.

Prediction Map:  May 7 to May 10 2013: The other model says no Mahasen. Just a depression which will travel from Bay of Bengal to Arabian Sea

Other forecasts, which we tend to trust say that a nasty cyclone which will be christened Mahasen once it grows up into a big bad boy, is going to form in the Bay of Bengal around the 10th of May, 2013. Predictions say Mahasen will be hovering around in the sea a few hundred miles ESE of Batticalao. Then? Very good chance that Tamil Nadu is in for a good lashing on the 12th of May, 2013.

Predicted path of Mahasen: May 9 to May 13, 2013 (Wind speed)

Mahasen will strike the Indian coast in the Madurai-Puducherry belt on the 12th of May, 2013. Northern Sri Lanka is too in for a thrashing. Strong winds and lots of precipitation. Maybe Mahasen will make landfall further up on the Andhra-Tamil Nadu border.

The weakened cyclone will bring a deluge to Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh till the 14th of May, 2013.

It is time the Sri Lankan and Indian authorities start taking precautionary steps.

Big bad Mahasen is coming.

Rain Prediction Map Because of Cyclone Mahasen (May 9 to May 15, 2013)