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“We sustain higher accuracy out to two to three days in advance; then it starts dropping off faster at days six through eight”
Louis Uccellini, director of the National Weather Service.

Saturday, October 27, 2012

Latest Cyclone NILAM Predicition: Nov. 3, 2012: Target Kutch!

Novemeber 3, 2012. Cyclone NILAM hits the Gujarat coast
Latest predictions of Expected Cyclone NILAM say that the Target is going to be Kutch area in Gujarat. The latest predictions vary little from our yesterday's analysis.

NILAM is going to be big. May be a super cyclone. (See the image below). It is going to hit the Gujarat coast in Kutch district on November 3rd, 2012.

Projected path of Cyclone NILAM. October 30, 2012 to November 3, 2012

So big the storm is going to be that the entire western region of India; the states of Gujarat, Rajasthan and coastal Maharashtra are going to receive rains. The most drenching is reserved for Kutch in Gujarat and Rajasthan. 

So massive and strong is tha system that it may move inwards into India cut across Rajasthan and give rains to Delhi and Uttaranchal too! All these states will get massive rains till the 5th of November., 2012.

Rainfall Prediction Map: Cyclone NILAM: October 31, 2012 to November 4, 2012.


Anonymous said...

Latest Cyclone NILAM Predicition: Nov. 3, 2012: Target Kutch! .......
NO way ur prediction is wrong

Editor said...

You are right. The situation has changed. The low pressure area in the Bay of Bengal that is likely to develop into cyclone NILAM is sucking up all the moisture in Indian Ocean south of Sri Lanka. So the Arabian Sea system is losing momentum.

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