Disappointing forecast for those of us in India, Pakistan and Oman who love storms and rains. The NOGAPS forecast system predicts that a storm system will form in the Arabian Sea on Nov 6, 2011. In the place we have forecast; about 1000 Kms NW of Maldives.
But this forecast says (Alas!) the low pressure system will moves towards the Gulf of Aden and reach it on the 10th of Nov., 2011!
I feel a little down, I admit. But I have found that the GFS forecast system is generally more accurate than the others. And GFS forecasts the storm system will come towards the seas of Oman, Pakistan and Gujarat.
But this forecast says (Alas!) the low pressure system will moves towards the Gulf of Aden and reach it on the 10th of Nov., 2011!
I feel a little down, I admit. But I have found that the GFS forecast system is generally more accurate than the others. And GFS forecasts the storm system will come towards the seas of Oman, Pakistan and Gujarat.
Rain Forecast Map According To NOGAPS Forecast
NOGAPS Forecast: Nov 6, 2011. The low-pressure area is formed
NOGAPS Forecast: Nov 7 2011. The low pressure system moves towards the Gulf Of Aden
NOGAPS Forecast: Nov 10, 2011. The system reaches the Gulf Of Aden. Horn of Africa gets heavy rains
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